Probability and Statistics: To p or not to p?
提供方
Probability and Statistics: To p or not to p?
University of London
課程信息
4.5
14 ratings
We live in an uncertain and complex world, yet we continually have to make decisions in the present with uncertain future outcomes. Indeed, we should be on the look-out for "black swans" - low-probability high-impact events.
To study, or not to study? To invest, or not to invest? To marry, or not to marry?
While uncertainty makes decision-making difficult, it does at least make life exciting! If the entire future was known in advance, there would never be an element of surprise. Whether a good future or a bad future, it would be a known future.
In this course we consider many useful tools to deal with uncertainty and help us to make informed (and hence better) decisions - essential skills for a lifetime of good decision-making.
Key topics include quantifying uncertainty with probability, descriptive statistics, point and interval estimation of means and proportions, the basics of hypothesis testing, and a selection of multivariate applications of key terms and concepts seen throughout the course.
教學大綱 - 您將從這門課程中學到什麼
1
章節
Dealing with Uncertainty and Complexity in a Chaotic World
8 個視頻（共 68 分鐘）, 6 個閱讀材料, 1 個測驗
8 個視頻
Welcome!3分鐘
1.1 The Monty Hall Problem9分鐘
1.2 Decision Making Under Uncertainty10分鐘
1.3 Uncertainty in the News9分鐘
1.4 Simplicity vs. Complexity - The Need for Models10分鐘
1.5 Safe to Assume? Beware, When Model Assumptions Go Wrong!9分鐘
1.6 Roadmap of the Course9分鐘
Week One Summary and Key Takeaways4分鐘
6 個閱讀材料
1.1 The Monty Hall Problem10分鐘
1.2 Decision Making Under Uncertainty10分鐘
1.3 Uncertainty in the News10分鐘
1.4 Simplicity vs. Complexity - The Need for Models10分鐘
1.5 Safe to Assume? Beware, When Model Assumptions Go Wrong!10分鐘
1.6 Roadmap of the Course10分鐘
1 個練習
Week One Quiz20分鐘
2
章節
Quantifying Uncertainty With Probability
7 個視頻（共 74 分鐘）, 6 個閱讀材料, 1 個測驗
7 個視頻
2.2 Simple Probability Distributions11分鐘
2.3 Expectation of Random Variables13分鐘
2.4 Bayesian Updating11分鐘
2.5 Parameters9分鐘
2.6 The Distribution Zoo11分鐘
Week Two Summary and Key Takeaways4分鐘
6 個閱讀材料
2.1 Probability Principles10分鐘
2.2 Simple Probability Distributions10分鐘
2.3 Expectation of Random Variables10分鐘
2.4 Bayesian Updating10分鐘
2.5 Parameters10分鐘
2.6 The Distribution Zoo10分鐘
1 個練習
Week Two Quiz20分鐘
3
章節
Describing The World The Statistical Way
7 個視頻（共 78 分鐘）, 6 個閱讀材料, 2 個測驗
7 個視頻
3.2 Data Visualisation11分鐘
3.3 Descriptive Statistics - Measures of Central Tendency13分鐘
3.4 Descriptive Statistics - Measures of Spread10分鐘
3.5 The Normal Distribution11分鐘
3.6 Variance of Random Variables13分鐘
Week Three Summary and Key Takeaways5分鐘
6 個閱讀材料
3.1 Classify Your Variables!10分鐘
3.2 Data Visualisation10分鐘
3.3 Descriptive Statistics - Measures of Central Tendency10分鐘
3.4 Descriptive Statistics - Measures of Spread10分鐘
3.5 The Normal Distribution10分鐘
3.6 Variance of Random Variables10分鐘
1 個練習
Week Three Quiz分鐘
4
章節
On Your Marks, Get Set, Infer!
7 個視頻（共 78 分鐘）, 6 個閱讀材料, 1 個測驗
7 個視頻
4.2 Random Sampling11分鐘
4.3 Further Random Sampling12分鐘
4.4 Sampling Distributions11分鐘
4.5 Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean11分鐘
4.6 Confidence Intervals13分鐘
Week Four Summary and Key Takeaways5分鐘
6 個閱讀材料
4.1 Introduction to Sampling10分鐘
4.2 Random Sampling10分鐘
4.3 Further Random Sampling10分鐘
4.4 Sampling Distributions10分鐘
4.5 Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean10分鐘
4.6 Confidence Intervals10分鐘
1 個練習
Week Four Quiz分鐘
4.5
熱門審閱
創建者 FT•Sep 16th 2018
Best course on the concepts of Probability and statistics , for the beginners. Dr.James Abdey provides lot of examples from the everyday life .
講師
Dr James Abdey
Assistant Professorial Lecturer, LSEUniversity of London
關於 University of London
The University of London is a federal University which includes 18 world leading Colleges. Our distance learning programmes were founded in 1858 and have enriched the lives of thousands of students, delivering high quality University of London degrees wherever our students are across the globe. Our alumni include 7 Nobel Prize winners. Today, we are a global leader in distance and flexible study, offering degree programmes to over 50,000 students in over 180 countries. To find out more about studying for one of our degrees where you are, visit www.london.ac.uk
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