Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are a rich framework for encoding probability distributions over complex domains: joint (multivariate) distributions over large numbers of random variables that interact with each other. These representations sit at the intersection of statistics and computer science, relying on concepts from probability theory, graph algorithms, machine learning, and more. They are the basis for the state-of-the-art methods in a wide variety of applications, such as medical diagnosis, image understanding, speech recognition, natural language processing, and many, many more. They are also a foundational tool in formulating many machine learning problems. This course is the third in a sequence of three. Following the first course, which focused on representation, and the second, which focused on inference, this course addresses the question of learning: how a PGM can be learned from a data set of examples. The course discusses the key problems of parameter estimation in both directed and undirected models, as well as the structure learning task for directed models. The (highly recommended) honors track contains two hands-on programming assignments, in which key routines of two commonly used learning algorithms are implemented and applied to a real-world problem.
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Learning: Overview
This module presents some of the learning tasks for probabilistic graphical models that we will tackle in this course.
Review of Machine Learning Concepts from Prof. Andrew Ng's Machine Learning Class (Optional)
This module contains some basic concepts from the general framework of machine learning, taken from Professor Andrew Ng's Stanford class offered on Coursera. Many of these concepts are highly relevant to the problems we'll tackle in this course.
Parameter Estimation in Bayesian Networks
This module discusses the simples and most basic of the learning problems in probabilistic graphical models: that of parameter estimation in a Bayesian network. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation, and the issues with it. We then discuss Bayesian estimation and how it can ameliorate these problems.
Learning Undirected Models
In this module, we discuss the parameter estimation problem for Markov networks - undirected graphical models. This task is considerably more complex, both conceptually and computationally, than parameter estimation for Bayesian networks, due to the issues presented by the global partition function.
Learning BN Structure
This module discusses the problem of learning the structure of Bayesian networks. We first discuss how this problem can be formulated as an optimization problem over a space of graph structures, and what are good ways to score different structures so as to trade off fit to data and model complexity. We then talk about how the optimization problem can be solved: exactly in a few cases, approximately in most others.
Learning BNs with Incomplete Data
In this module, we discuss the problem of learning models in cases where some of the variables in some of the data cases are not fully observed. We discuss why this situation is considerably more complex than the fully observable case. We then present the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, which is used in a wide variety of problems.
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來自Probabilistic Graphical Models 3: Learning的熱門評論
very good course for PGM learning and concept for machine learning programming. Just some description for quiz of final exam is somehow unclear, which lead to a little bit confusing.
Great course! Very informative course videos and challenging yet rewarding programming assignments. Hope that the mentors can be more helpful in timely responding for questions.
講師
Daphne Koller
Professor關於 斯坦福大学
關於 概率图模型 專項課程
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Learning Outcomes: By the end of this course, you will be able to
Compute the sufficient statistics of a data set that are necessary for learning a PGM from data
Implement both maximum likelihood and Bayesian parameter estimation for Bayesian networks
Implement maximum likelihood and MAP parameter estimation for Markov networks
Formulate a structure learning problem as a combinatorial optimization task over a space of network structure, and evaluate which scoring function is appropriate for a given situation
Utilize PGM inference algorithms in ways that support more effective parameter estimation for PGMs
Implement the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Bayesian networks
Honors track learners will get hands-on experience in implementing both EM and structure learning for tree-structured networks, and apply them to real-world tasks
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